Armillary Sphere, Copyright Office du Tourisme Genève / Baud V. Maydell Global Peoples' Convention

30th December 2000

Geneva / Switzerland

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World Parliament: The "Numbers Game"

Actually, the question of global representation is not a game. Quite to the contrary: like in any modern-day democracy, it is one of the most important and far-reaching decisions that has to be taken when weighing the relative "voice" given to each individual person, country, region, continent. 

When one tries to work out a balanced distribution of global representation, however, the task quickly turns into a never-ending "game" of compromises and alternatives. 

In 1950, The People's World Convention was conceived as an assembly of national delegations elected on the basis of "one delegate per one million inhabitants". Today, with over 6 billion people living in the world, this would add up to a mammoth parliament of over 6000 delegates! This wouldn't work. Worse still: more than fifty percent of the delegates would come from the ten most populous countries alone - nothing that we would consider very democratic or representative nowadays. 

On the other hand, it' s also quite inconceivable to grant the same number of delegates to each modern nation-state, irrespective of the size of its population: nobody would dream of putting the relative strength of, say, the Chinese population, on an equal footing with dozens of tiny island-states. 

What about the question of territorial size: does it have to be taken into consideration as well? 

And what about economic and/or military strength: are some mighty countries going to accept an equal representation with some "underdeveloped" poor nations? 

Even before going into such tricky details, a crucial question will be the overall size of a functional World Parliament: how big can a group of people be and still debate and parley in a reasonable, sensible fashion? To take a few examples of today's biggest working National Parliaments, or "Lower Houses": in the United Kingdom there are 659 MP's, in Germany 656, in Italy 630. So, for all practical purposes, and judging from these modern-day examples, around 700 Members of Parliament would be about the upper limit of what a World Parliament-to-be should consist of. 

One way of getting closer to a balanced global representation is the so-called Penrose Square-Root Method: You take the number of a country's population in millions - and its square-root gives you the number of representatives that country is entitled to. Based on the national population figures (taken from Wikipedia "List of countries by population"  as per May 2010), this method would add up to a total of 744 representatives - or, when allowing for the smallest countries to be represented by at least one representative, to 763. There would still result a certain number of inequalities - this time stemming from the fact that regions with a large number of countries (irrespective of their overall population) are over-represented in comparison to regions with only a few countries. For example, Sub-Saharan Africa, with 48 nations and some 830 MIO people, would have twice as many representatives as the whole Indian sub-continent, which consists of only 8 nations but has an overall population of well over one billion people. For the same reason, China and the U.S.A. would be grossly under-represented. 

To smoothen out this new inequality, all the present nation-states could be grouped into nine more or less homogeneous World Regions (homogeneous in respect to their common culture, history, religion, and geographical affinity) - with each of the World Regions having right to 81 representatives in total. (As to this "weighted" allocation of seats per nation, see attached calculation.)

The nine regions in turn could then be grouped into three World Groups (with a total of 243 representatives each) - with each World Group acting as a voting block within the World Parliament (see attached voting example).

The nine Regions and three Groups could be the following:

 

1. Eastern European Region
2. Chino-Japanese Region
3. Pacific Region

     Group "East"

4. Western European Region
5. North American Region
6. South American Region

 Group "West"

7. Sub-Saharan Region
8. Arabo-Persian Region
9. Indian Region

 Group "South"

Each Group, and each Region, would have the same number of delegates, and thus equal voting power.

In the following example, we first show all the nations' present population in millions, then the number of representatives per nation according to the Square-Root Method (with a minimum of 1 representative even for the smallest nations), and finally the "weighted" number of delegates.  
 

1. Eastern European Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
1 Russia 141.9 12 10
2 Turkey 72.6 9 7
3 Ukraine 46.0 7 6
4 Poland 38.2 6 5
5 Uzbekistan 27.5 5 4
6 Rumania 21.5 5 4
7 Kazakhstan 15.8 4 3
8 Czech Rep. 10.5 3 3
9 Hungary 10.0 3 3
10 Serbia 9.9 3 3
11 Belarus (White Russia) 9.5 3 3
12 Azerbaijan 8.9 3 2
13 Bulgaria 7.6 3 2
14 Tajikistan 7.0 3 2
15 Kyrgyzstan 5.5 2 2
16 Slovakia 5.4 2 2
17 Finland 5.4 2 2
18 Turkmenistan 5.1 2 2
19 Croatia 4.4 2 2
20 Georgia 4.4 2 2
21 Bosnia-Herzegovina 3.8 2 2
22 Moldavia 3.6 2 2
23 Lithuania 3.3 2 2
24 Albania 3.2 2 1
25 Latvia 2.2 1 1
26 Slovenia 2.1 1 1
27 Macedonia 2.0 1 1
28 Estonia 1.3 1 1
29 Montenegro 0.6 1 1
  TOTAL 479 94 81

 

 

2. Chino-Japanese Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
30 China 1'337.5 37 45
31 Japan 127.4 11 14
32 South Korea 49.8 7 8
33 North Korea 24.1 5 6
34 Taiwan 23.1 5 6
35 Mongolia 2.8 2 2
  TOTAL 1565 67 81

 

 

3. Pacific Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
36 Indonesia 231.4 15 14
37 Philippines 92.2 10 9
38 Vietnam 85.8 9 9
39 Thailand 63.5 8 8
40 Myanmar 50.0 7 7
41 Malaysia 28.3 5 5
42 Australia 22.3 5 4
43 Cambodia 14.8 4 4
44 Papua New Guinea 6.7 3 2
45 Laos 6.3 3 2
46 Singapore 5.0 2 2
47 New Zealand 4.4 2 2
48 East Timor 1.1 1 1
49 Fiji 0.8 1 1
50 Solomon Islands 0.5 1 1
51 Brunei 0.4 1 1
52 Vanuatu 0.2 1 1
53 Samoa West 0.2 1 1
54 Micronesia 0.1 1 1
55 Tonga 0.1 1 1
56 Kiribati 0.1 1 1
57 Marshall Islands 0.1 1 1
58 Belau (Palau) 0.02 1 1
59 Tuvalu 0.01 1 1
60 Nauru 0.01 1 1
  TOTAL 614 86 81

 

 

4. Western European Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
61 Germany 81.8 9 10
62 France 65.4 8 9
63 Great Britain 62.0 8 8
64 Italy 60.3 8 8
65 Spain 46.0 7 7
66 Netherlands 16.6 4 4
67 Greece 11.3 3 4
68 Belgium 10.8 3 3
69 Portugal 10.6 3 3
70 Sweden 9.3 3 3
71 Austria 8.4 3 3
72 Switzerland 7.8 3 3
73 Denmark 5.5 2 3
74 Norway 4.9 2 2
75 Ireland 4.5 2 2
76 Cyprus 0.8 1 1
77 Luxembourg 0.5 1 1
78 Malta 0.4 1 1
79 Iceland 0.3 1 1
80 Andorra 0.1 1 1
81 Liechtenstein 0.04 1 1
82 Monaco 0.03 1 1
83 San Marino 0.03 1 1
84 Holy Sea (Vatican City) 0.001 1 1
  TOTAL 407 77 81

 

 

5. North American Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
85 U.S.A. 309.3 18 29
86 Mexico 107.6 10 17
87 Canada 34.1 6 10
88 Guatemala 14.0 4 6
89 Honduras 7.5 3 4
90 El Salvador 6.2 2 4
91 Nicaragua 5.7 2 4
92 Costa Rica 4.6 2 3
93 Panama 3.5 2 3
94 Belize 0.3 1 1
  TOTAL 493 50 81

 

 

6. South American Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
95 Brazil 192.9 14 15
96 Columbia 45.4 7 7
97 Argentina 40.1 6 7
98 Peru 29.1 5 6
99 Venezuela 28.8 5 6
100 Chile 17.1 4 5
101 Ecuador 14.2 4 4
102 Cuba 11.2 3 4
103 Dominican Republic 10.1 3 3
104 Haiti 10.1 3 3
105 Bolivia 9.9 3 3
106 Paraguay 6.3 3 3
107 Uruguay 3.4 2 2
108 Jamaica 2.7 2 2
109 Trinidad and Tobago 1.3 1 1
110 Guyana 0.8 1 1
111 Surinam 0.5 1 1
112 Bahamas 0.3 1 1
113 Barbados 0.3 1 1
114 Saint Lucia 0.2 1 1
115 St. Vincent & Grenadines 0.1 1 1
116 Grenada 0.1 1 1
117 Antigua & Barbuda 0.1 1 1
118 Dominica 0.1 1 1
119 St. Kitts & Nevis 0.1 1 1
  TOTAL 425 75 81

 

 

 7. Sub-Saharan Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
120 Nigeria 154.7 12 6
121 Ethiopia 79.2 9 4
122 Zaire 66.0 8 4
123 South Africa 49.3 7 3
124 Tanzania 43.7 7 3
125 Kenya 39.8 6 3
126 Sudan 39.2 6 3
127 Uganda 32.7 6 2
128 Ghana 23.8 5 2
129 Mozambique 21.4 5 2
130 Ivory Coast 21.1 5 2
131 Madagascar 19.6 4 2
132 Cameroon 19.5 4 2
133 Angola 18.5 4 2
134 Burkina Faso 15.8 4 2
135 Niger 15.3 4 2
136 Malawi 15.3 4 2
137 Mali 14.5 4 2
138 Zambia 12.9 4 2
139 Senegal 12.5 4 2
140 Zimbabwe 12.5 4 2
141 Chad 11.3 3 1
142 Guinea 10.1 3 1
143 Rwanda 10.3 3 1
144 Somalia 9.1 3 1
145 Benin 8.9 3 1
146 Burundi 8.3 3 1
147 Togo 6.6 3 1
148 Sierra Leone 5.7 2 1
149 Eritrea 5.1 2 1
150 Central African Republic 4.4 2 1
151 Congo, Rep. 4.4 2 1
152 Liberia 3.5 2 1
153 Mauritania 3.3 2 1
154 Namibia 2.2 1 1
155 Lesotho 2.1 1 1
156 Botswana 2.0 1 1
157 Gambia 1.7 1 1
158 Guinea-Bissau 1.6 1 1
159 Gabon 1.5 1 1
160 Mauritius 1.3 1 1
161 Swaziland 1.2 1 1
162 Djibouti 0.9 1 1
163 Comoros 0.7 1 1
164 Equatorial Guinea 0.7 1 1
165 Cape Verde 0.5 1 1
166 Sao Tome & Principe 0.2 1 1
167 Seychelles 0.1 1 1
  TOTAL 835 163 81

 

 

8. Arabo-Persian Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
168 Pakistan 169.5 13 12
169 Egypt 78.3 9 8
170 Iran 74.2 9 8
171 Algeria 34.9 6 5
172 Morocco 31.8 6 5
173 Iraq 30.7 6 5
174 Afghanistan 28.2 5 5
175 Saudi Arabia 25.7 5 5
176 Yemen 23.6 5 4
177 Syria 21.9 5 4
178 Tunisia 10.4 3 3
179 Israel 7.5 3 2
180 Libya 6.4 3 2
181 Jordan 6.3 3 2
182 United Arab Emirates 4.6 2 2
183 Lebanon 4.3 2 2
184 Armenia 3.2 2 2
185 Kuwait 3.0 2 2
186 Oman 2.8 2 1
187 Qatar 1.4 1 1
188 Bahrain 0.8 1 1
  TOTAL 570 93 81

 

 

9. Indian Region

Nr. Country Population 
in MIO
Square-
Root
Reps.
(weighted)
189 India 1'180.8 34 48
190 Bangladesh 162.2 13 18
191 Nepal 29.3 5 7
192 Sri Lanka 20.2 4 6
193 Bhutan 0.7 1 1
194 Maldives 0.3 1 1
  TOTAL 1394 58 81

 


 

Recapitulation:
 

Region / Group Population
in MIO
Total
of

Square-
Roots
Total
Number
of Reps.
(
weighted)
Eastern European Region 
Chino-Japanese Region
Pacific Region

Group "
East"

479
1'565
614
2'658

94
67
86
247

81
81
81
243

Western European Region
North American Region
South American Region
Group "
West"

407
493
425
1'325

77
50
75
202

81
81
81
243

Sub-Saharan Region
Arabo-Persian Region
Indian Region
Group "South"

835
570
1'394
2'799

163
93
58
314

81
81
81
243

GRAND TOTAL:

6'782

763

729

The total of 729 Representatives would remain unchanged for all times, irrespective of the future development of world population. Equally, the total of 81 Representatives per Group would remain unchanged. However, within each group, the relative strength in population of each nation can be taken into account periodically, and the respective numbers of Representatives per nation adjusted accordingly.

 


At this stage, nobody can predict how the peoples of the world will one day decide as to the way they want to be represented in a World Parliament-to-be. The discussion is open, and every individual world citizen is invited to have his or her own go at the "numbers game". It is both fascinating and entertaining - and an excellent example of democracy at work. The end-result of the game will one day decide how democratic, and peaceful, our world will be.



Attachments (please click on the links):

- Calculation of "adjusted" numbers of Representatives (with explanations, in German)
- Examples of possible voting procedure within the relative weight of voting blocks


 

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PS: Within the United Nations, five "regional groups" have been established for electoral purposes. These groups are:

1) Eastern European Countries: with 23 nations
2) Asian Group (including Middle East, South East Asia, Pacific Islands): 53 nations
3) Western European Countries, North America, Australia, New Zealand: 29 nations
4) Latin American and Caribbean Countries: 33 nations
5) African Countries (including North Africa): 53 nations

In 2000, in a statement by H.E. Vinci N. Clodumar, the Republic of Nauru suggested the establishment of a new group called "Oceania", which would include not only the Pacific Island nations, but also Australia, New Zealand, ASEAN countries, Japan, and South Korea.

 

The concept of nine world regions could be varied in many ways. There is in fact a strong argument to include Japan and the Koreas in the Pacific region rather then in the Chinese/Mongolian region; Panama might be relocated in the South American region; Western Sahara might be considered part of the Sub-Saharan region.

 

.

Possible distribution of the proposed nine world regions.

For a new calculation, including the introduction of three sub-regions each, click here.

 

Original text written by Peter Kasser in autumn 1999,
published in the internet on 13th January 2000

Latest update (with newest population numbers, new groupings, and attachments for the calculation of "adjusted" representatives, and a  voting example):
May 2010